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Using Prediction Arena involves real risk. Please read this page carefully before staking funds.

You can lose everything you stake

Predictions can be wrong. The losing side of every round loses its stake. You should never stake funds you cannot afford to lose.

Smart-contract risk

Prediction Arena is built on smart contracts. Smart contracts can contain bugs. We mitigate this risk through independent audits, internal review, a continuous bug bounty program, and a non-upgradeable design that constrains the impact of any individual issue. We do not, and cannot, eliminate the risk entirely.

Oracle risk

Prediction Arena’s settlement depends on an external oracle network. If the oracle is delayed, settlement is delayed. If the oracle network were ever compromised at the protocol level, settlement could be affected. We chose a first-party oracle with a strong publisher set specifically to minimize this risk.

Network risk

Polygon is a public blockchain. Network outages, congestion, and reorgs are possible. None of these put your funds at risk of theft, but they may delay round operations.

Wallet risk

You are responsible for the security of your own wallet. If you lose your seed phrase, sign a malicious transaction in another app, or fall victim to a phishing scam, we cannot recover your funds. We will never DM you first. We will never ask for your seed phrase.

Regulatory risk

Prediction markets and on-chain financial products are subject to evolving regulation in many jurisdictions. You are responsible for ensuring that your use of Prediction Arena complies with the laws applicable to you. See Jurisdictions.

Behavioral risk

Frequent prediction games can become compulsive. If you find yourself staking more than you intended, predicting more often than you intended, or feeling distressed about the outcome, please stop and seek support. Prediction Arena is entertainment, not income. This is a placeholder template intended for review by qualified counsel before production use.